Public evidence record

metski29

0x762ee19681f0482dfe3e44ca42e9a26b34564bf0

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.9%703 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.4%$1,963,004 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.60%378 pre-event fills

Settlement record

319-291Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−78.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 703 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.2% to +1.5%

703 closed positions · 1,555 taker fills · $1,963,004 deployed

Typical position $1,725 (median) · closing line value measured over 378 pre-event fills · 24% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$2800

Vikings vs. Lions

Lions

entry 63¢ · -170now 43¢ · +135−20.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball276 closed126–112-4.8%
Basketball156 closed64–66-4.3%
Soccer126 closed55–60-8.2%
Football96 closed55–34+0.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Spread: UTSA (-7.5)football · spreads	Florida Atlantic	won	53¢ · -114	$4,912	+4,180
2026-11-05	Will Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	58¢ · -138	$1,532	—
2026-11-05	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline	No	won	65¢ · -187	$6,866	—
2026-11-05	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)soccer · spreads