Public evidence record

metski29

0x762ee19681f0482dfe3e44ca42e9a26b34564bf0

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.7%620 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.5%$1,763,216 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.75%280 pre-event fills

Settlement record

270-260Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−76.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 620 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.4% to +1.0%

620 closed positions · 1,382 taker fills · $1,763,216 deployed

Typical position $1,581 (median) · closing line value measured over 280 pre-event fills · 23% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball272 closed122–112-5.3%
Basketball154 closed63–65-4.2%
Soccer112 closed48–54-7.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-17	San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5baseball · baseball team first five total	Under	lost	63¢ · -170	$250	−250
2026-09-16	Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	61¢ · -156	$113	—
2026-09-16	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline	Minnesota Twins	won	61¢ · -156	$70	+43
2026-09-16	Combo: No — Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) + No — Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-16? + No — Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?multi sport · combo	—