Public evidence record

Beardsley

0x76697d10520591cc163e194d533a5cd4a960f58c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+12.7%1,568 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.9%$498,147 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample10 pre-event fills

Settlement record

905-659-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−82.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,568 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: +7.3% to +18.0%

1,568 closed positions · 2,148 taker fills · $498,147 deployed

Typical position $58 (median) · closing line value measured over 10 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball1,060 closed603–456+13.4%
Football339 closed202–135–2+7.0%
Hockey126 closed80–46+0.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5basketball · totals	Under	won	49¢ · +104	$15	+15
2026-11-06	Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5football · totals	Under	won	52¢ · -108	$1,014	+912
2026-11-05	Jazz Team Total: O/U 111.5basketball · team totals	Under	lost	24¢ · +313	$10	−10
2026-11-05	Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 207.5basketball · totals	Under	lost	53¢ · -113	$21