Public evidence record

umycmfrdjlyw

0x76bba113f67e5903eb73548ce129d28060394548

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-9.3%1,662 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.3%$85,101 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-4.28%969 pre-event fills

Settlement record

630-702-10Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−91.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,662 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.0% to -5.6%

1,662 closed positions · 4,435 taker fills · $85,101 deployed

Typical position $26 (median) · closing line value measured over 969 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$2

Will LOS win Worlds 2026?

Yes

entry 0¢now 0¢+0.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,441 closed559–584–10-8.1%
Football84 closed22–58-16.2%
Basketball65 closed19–29-7.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Desports · moneyline	BASEMENT BOYS	won	46¢ · +117	$25	+27
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Desports · moneyline	Johnny Speeds	lost	53¢ · -113	$25	+0
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: Gothic vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stageesports · moneyline	Inner Circle Academy	exited	50¢ · -100	$28	−2
2026-11-06