Public evidence record

emmsha

0x797f5d07cc211f9e0230c6d78335d877aa00f08a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-19.9%226 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-8.4%$21,434 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.99%103 pre-event fills

Settlement record

48-156-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−39.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 226 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -30.6% to -9.3%

226 closed positions · 278 taker fills · $21,434 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 103 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball156 closed39–103-13.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-19	Combo: Georgia — Spread: Georgia (-21.5) + Iowa State — Spread: Iowa State (-20.5) + North Carolina — Spread: Clemson (-3.5) + Rutgers — Spread: USC (-24.5) + Alabama — Spread: Alabama (-14.5) + Auburn — Florida vs. Auburnfootball · combo	—	lost	4¢ · +2425	$24	−24
2026-09-17	San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies · Spread San Diego Padres (-2.5)baseball · spreads	San Diego Padres	won	41¢ · +144	$51	+70
2026-09-17	Combo: Tampa Bay Rays — Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) + Los Angeles Dodgers — Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) + Milwaukee Brewers — Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · combo	—	lost	12¢ · +730	$30	−30
2026-09-17