Public evidence record

felicestigres

0x7a6457bc030209feb6a51b2c761936c4dc3c6769

Not ranked. market maker (50% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+1.9%1,385 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+4.3%$38,619 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.21%1,498 pre-event fills

Settlement record

808-534-9Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−32.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,385 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.5% to +6.2%

1,385 closed positions · 1,962 taker fills · $38,619 deployed

Typical position $5 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,498 pre-event fills · 50% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$4

KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over

entry 62¢ · -163now 50¢ · -100−12.0 pts

Open

value$6

KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lada Togliatti

Ak Bars Kazan

entry 76¢ · -316now 98¢ · -6352+22.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball559 closed293–244+2.2%
Soccer254 closed174–80-5.4%
Tennis212 closed138–66–8-2.5%
Hockey200 closed117–78+5.2%
Football93 closed54–39-0.8%
Esports54 closed27–21-7.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 81 sports · 19 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Severstal Cherepovetshockey · moneyline	Amur Khabarovsk	lost	53¢ · -113	$3	−3
2026-09-20	Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmensoccer · moneyline	Antigua And Barbuda Falcons	won	50¢ · -100	$3	+3
2026-09-20	Davis Cup: Cristian Garin vs. Daniel Meridamoneyline · Non-sports	Daniel Merida	push	54¢ · -117	$3	−0
2026-09-20