Public evidence record

felicestigres

0x7a6457bc030209feb6a51b2c761936c4dc3c6769

Not ranked. market maker (55% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.2%1,922 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+3.9%$41,359 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.16%3,078 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1102-757-29Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−42.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,922 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.9% to +3.5%

1,922 closed positions · 3,300 taker fills · $41,359 deployed

Typical position $5 (median) · closing line value measured over 3,078 pre-event fills · 55% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball563 closed295–246+1.9%
Tennis520 closed306–187–27-3.1%
Soccer463 closed289–174-6.7%
Hockey207 closed122–80+4.5%
Football93 closed54–39-0.9%
Esports54 closed27–21-7.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-27	Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline	No	exited	87¢ · -669	$4	—
2026-10-27	Will Yellow-Red KV Mechelen win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline	No	exited	63¢ · -170	$5	—
2026-10-26	Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	No	won	73¢ · -270	$5	—
2026-10-26	Will San Martin de San Juan win on 2026-10-26?soccer · moneyline	No	won	71¢ · -245