Public evidence record

memetal

0x7b842c1f82f598a654865d7a223cf2b52209a13e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.9%2,136 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.6%$843,803 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.34%203 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1545-245-11Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−5.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,136 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.4% to -4.3%

2,136 closed positions · 5,406 taker fills · $843,803 deployed

Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 203 pre-event fills · 13% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

25 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$5

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes

entry 41¢ · +145now 41¢ · +146−0.3 pts

Open

value$23

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?

No

entry 84¢ · -532now 78¢ · -351−6.3 pts

Open

value$2

Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?

Yes

entry 97¢ · -3853now 100¢+2.5 ptsboth sides

Open

value$100

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?

Yes

entry 99¢ · -7534

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball654 closed495–28–1-1.6%
Soccer492 closed340–74–6-9.5%
Hockey485 closed364–79-4.5%
Basketball395 closed251–54-8.2%
Tennis70 closed63–5–1-6.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 32 sports · 68 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Warriors	won	99¢ · -9900	$10	+0
2026-11-06	Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5hockey · totals	Under	won	100¢ · -85489	$54	+0
2026-11-06	Blackhawks vs. Lightning · Spread Lightning (-2.5)hockey · spreads	Lightning	won	97¢ · -2841	$69	+2
2026-11-06	Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 9.5hockey · totals