Public evidence record

jcmedran

0x7c99b805c109ea23fe6c48bee840270828eb8b23

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.3%432 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.1%$234,222 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.55%34 pre-event fills

Settlement record

221-164Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−32.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 432 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.3% to +2.7%

432 closed positions · 807 taker fills · $234,222 deployed

Typical position $304 (median) · closing line value measured over 34 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis279 closed139–110-3.9%
Soccer132 closed69–48-5.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 74 sports · 26 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETNon-sports	Down	lost	30¢ · +236	$83	−83
2026-09-04	US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipastennis · moneyline	Jiri Lehecka	lost	63¢ · -170	$4,700	−4,700
2026-09-04	Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5soccer · totals	Over	won	70¢ · -231	$3,340	+1,369
2026-09-04	US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider