Public evidence record

bagel-sosoyii

0x7de04bd844e4ad318814e7f2b043e2bc40557429

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 25, 2026

Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.2%532 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.1%$185,428 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.94%101 pre-event fills

Settlement record

277-222-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−47.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 532 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.5% to +2.1%

532 closed positions · 765 taker fills · $185,428 deployed

Typical position $207 (median) · closing line value measured over 101 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports486 closed258–197–1-2.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-25	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsesports · moneyline	1win	lost	69¢ · -223	$163	−163
2026-09-24	Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbasketball · moneyline	Connecticut Sun	won	59¢ · -144	$98	+65
2026-09-24	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	1win	lost	31¢ · +223	$104	−104
2026-09-24	Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Aurora	won