Public evidence record

Brilo85

0x7f2949f207a5b3bfd1d2a7d15e040c35c877f03d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.7%1,284 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.7%$589,354 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.14%850 pre-event fills

Settlement record

514-655Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−92.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,284 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.0% to +2.6%

1,284 closed positions · 2,388 taker fills · $589,354 deployed

Typical position $265 (median) · closing line value measured over 850 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball698 closed283–386-5.9%
Soccer435 closed161–197-2.4%
Football148 closed69–70+1.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Over	lost	50¢ · +100	$622	−622
2026-09-23	Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5baseball · totals	Over	won	38¢ · +163	$317	+307
2026-09-23	Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5baseball · totals	Over	lost	50¢ · -102	$410	−410
2026-09-23	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5baseball · totals	Over	won	69¢ · -223