Public evidence record

Kosherlocks

0x82398835fe16616214d928ba87127e28fc1cd9a3

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.2%232 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.4%$1,749,009 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.59%212 pre-event fills

Settlement record

141-90-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−12.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 232 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.7% to +9.1%

232 closed positions · 374 taker fills · $1,749,009 deployed

Typical position $3,002 (median) · closing line value measured over 212 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$258

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes

entry 5¢ · +1945now 5¢ · +1880+0.2 pts

Open

value$79

Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes

entry 8¢ · +1197now 5¢ · +1752−2.3 pts

Open

value$1127

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No

entry 70¢ · -230now 79¢ · -367+8.9 pts

Open

value$720

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes

entry 39¢ · +157now 56¢ · -128+17.2 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball109 closed70–39+2.4%
MMA61 closed35–25–1-1.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Eagles vs. Titansfootball · moneyline	Eagles	won	76¢ · -317	$29,854	+9,428
2026-09-20	Raiders vs. Chargersfootball · moneyline	Chargers	lost	73¢ · -270	$95,000	−95,000
2026-09-20	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline	Dooho Choi	lost	71¢ · -245	$15,725	−15,725
2026-09-19	USC vs. Rutgers · Spread USC (-22.5)football · spreads	Rutgers	won	54¢ · -117