Public evidence record

KransN

0x82b016c0ebc41fad44f9c0c5ca7246b2cfb57c38

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+2.6%2,376 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.7%$491,877 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+3.19%240 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1102-1012-10Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−79.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,376 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -1.2% to +6.3%

2,376 closed positions · 3,843 taker fills · $491,877 deployed

Typical position $125 (median) · closing line value measured over 240 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,370 closed637–596–1-0.4%
Tennis719 closed308–300–8+3.8%
Basketball124 closed75–47-0.2%
Soccer84 closed41–36-0.6%
Hockey52 closed26–23-5.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Will Lamphun Warriors FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	No	won	65¢ · -186	$33	—
2026-11-06	Set Handicap: Matej Dodig (-1.5) vs Laslo Djere (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap	Laslo Djere	lost	65¢ · -186	$0	−0
2026-11-06	Game Spread: Coleman Wong (-4.5) vs Kasidit Samrej (+4.5)tennis · tennis game handicap	Kasidit Samrej	lost	60¢ · -150	$204	−204
2026-11-06	Magic vs. Suns