Public evidence record

0x859a…ba85

0x859a7884850c5ddfd4d8d167d5e667ef637fba85

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.7%118 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.2%$22,338 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.44%64 pre-event fills

Settlement record

77-26-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−2.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 118 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.9% to -0.5%

118 closed positions · 287 taker fills · $22,338 deployed

Typical position $102 (median) · closing line value measured over 64 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis118 closed77–26–1-4.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaevatennis · moneyline	Elena Rybakina	lost	94¢ · -1567	$602	−511
2026-10-03	China Open: Iva Jovic vs Harriet Darttennis · moneyline	Iva Jovic	won	83¢ · -488	$101	+18
2026-10-03	China Open: Belinda Bencic vs Anastasia Zakharovatennis · moneyline	Belinda Bencic	exited	80¢ · -400	$101	+24
2026-10-03	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Anna Kalinskaya