Public evidence record

anotherdream

0x8604bb54df5a5ea9168775057c25a999c49d222d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.5%1,222 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.9%$91,886 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample3 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1196-24Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−19.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,222 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.3% to -0.8%

1,222 closed positions · 1,594 taker fills · $91,886 deployed

Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 3 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball411 closed405–6-2.1%
Tennis328 closed316–10-3.3%
Esports208 closed206–2-3.1%
Basketball167 closed166–1-2.2%
Soccer100 closed96–4-5.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 17 sports · 83 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1PM ETNon-sports	Up	won	99¢ · -9900	$27	+0
2026-09-23	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ETNon-sports	Down	won	98¢ · -4900	$27	+1
2026-09-23	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1AM ETNon-sports	Down	won	99¢ · -9900	$24	+0
2026-09-23	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 9PM ETNon-sports