Public evidence record

shisushi

0x860df814be22136b98c08084590c0bd946623c72

Not ranked. market maker (31% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.1%2,071 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.9%$160,588 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.93%2,149 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1184-823-27Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−59.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,071 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.7% to +0.5%

2,071 closed positions · 2,722 taker fills · $160,588 deployed

Typical position $48 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,149 pre-event fills · 31% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$559

Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?

No

entry 87¢ · -669now 84¢ · -525−3.0 pts

Open

value$818

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

No

entry 84¢ · -525now 94¢ · -1438+9.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball515 closed309–199-2.4%
Esports412 closed203–171–24-8.0%
Football347 closed220–123–1-3.5%
Hockey294 closed149–141-4.1%
Baseball213 closed128–82-1.3%
Tennis133 closed93–40-2.0%
Soccer111 closed58–47–1-6.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs M80 Boston (BO5) - Monster Launch Invitational Group Besports · moneyline	Toronto KOI	won	51¢ · -104	$86	+79
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: Gothic vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stageesports · moneyline	Gothic	push	40¢ · +150	$51	+11
2026-11-06	Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5football · totals	Under	lost	73¢ · -270	$49	−49
2026-11-06