Public evidence record

shisushi

0x860df814be22136b98c08084590c0bd946623c72

Not ranked. market maker (34% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.9%1,638 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.6%$133,171 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.04%1,640 pre-event fills

Settlement record

910-668-25Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−47.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,638 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.1% to +1.2%

1,638 closed positions · 2,153 taker fills · $133,171 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,640 pre-event fills · 34% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$232

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

Paper Rex

entry 59¢ · -144now 57¢ · -135−1.5 pts

Open

value$479

Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

No

entry 68¢ · -217now 98¢ · -5614+29.8 pts

Open

value$168

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No

entry 69¢ · -220now 79¢ · -367+9.8 pts

Open

value$187

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No

entry 85¢ · -567now 94¢ · -1438+8.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball442 closed259–176-2.4%
Esports353 closed175–143–23-6.8%
Hockey247 closed117–126-5.2%
Baseball179 closed108–68-0.2%
Football164 closed103–58-1.9%
Tennis116 closed81–35-1.6%
Soccer94 closed44–44–1-8.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline	Chiefs	won	81¢ · -425	$290	+68
2026-09-21	Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Acesbasketball · moneyline	Las Vegas Aces	won	94¢ · -1589	$253	+15
2026-09-20	Eagles vs. Titansfootball · moneyline	Titans	lost	43¢ · +134	$138	−138
2026-09-20	Panthers vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline	Panthers	won	72¢ · -257	$235