Public evidence record

madmaxbet

0x864a1140430b314f926c92e16aefdf6c4d787cac

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.4%1,527 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.2%$316,473 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.41%2,047 pre-event fills

Settlement record

845-681Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−41.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,527 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.0% to +1.2%

1,527 closed positions · 2,460 taker fills · $316,473 deployed

Typical position $138 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,047 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball669 closed361–308-2.9%
Football310 closed171–138-5.7%
Baseball269 closed159–110-3.9%
Hockey230 closed123–107-1.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-04	Bucks vs. Celticsbasketball · moneyline	Bucks	lost	18¢ · +456	$17	−17
2026-11-03	Red Wings vs. Lightninghockey · moneyline	Red Wings	lost	28¢ · +257	$1	−1
2026-11-02	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	79¢ · -376	$3	—
2026-11-02	Raptors vs. Clippersbasketball · moneyline	Raptors	won	62¢ · -163	$2