Public evidence record

8989898JUJUJ898

0x87f85d0edd8d45542592e3ec0450c035e63b7de3

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $24.87). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-10.4%712 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$32,586 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.60%527 pre-event fills

Settlement record

142-354Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−57.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 712 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.0% to -3.9%

712 closed positions · 1,225 taker fills · $32,586 deployed

Typical position $25 (median) · closing line value measured over 527 pre-event fills · 25% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

14 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$50

Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?

Yes

entry 56¢ · -127now 56¢ · -125−0.5 pts

Open

value$6

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Yes

entry 3¢ · +3484now 2¢ · +5028−0.8 pts

Open

value$50

Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 1¢now 0¢−0.4 pts

Open

value$48

Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 1¢now 1¢+0.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball523 closed116–266-8.1%
Soccer92 closed5–29-9.2%
Esports55 closed11–40-12.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	29¢ · +245	$15	—
2026-09-16	Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Over	lost	57¢ · -133	$32	−32
2026-09-16	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	38¢ · +163	$52	—
2026-09-15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?