Public evidence record

Molygem2.0

0x888456d503d5929ec87709b689f95237bfd23457

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.6%1,328 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.5%$343,574 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.60%1,285 pre-event fills

Settlement record

409-342-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−58.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,328 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.3% to +4.5%

1,328 closed positions · 4,276 taker fills · $343,574 deployed

Typical position $181 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,285 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$150

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

Over

entry 49¢ · +104now 47¢ · +115−2.5 pts

Open

value$152

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

Over

entry 47¢ · +113now 47¢ · +115−0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports441 closed152–129–1+1.1%
Baseball334 closed114–65-2.5%
Basketball210 closed67–55+0.5%
Soccer132 closed33–36-6.7%
Hockey122 closed20–35-4.3%
MMA78 closed19–18–1+2.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Jaguars vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline	Jaguars	exited	43¢ · +133	$177	−107
2026-09-20	Seahawks vs. Cardinalsfootball · moneyline	Seahawks	won	66¢ · -194	$154	+80
2026-09-20	Spread: Chargers (-6.5)football · spreads	Raiders	won	49¢ · +104	$112	+116
2026-09-20	Bengals vs. Texansfootball · moneyline