Public evidence record

PapaJ19

0x88c5aa6ee4cbac793b7e6d3d8bad9481f36c2909

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.1%278 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.4%$44,361 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.38%410 pre-event fills

Settlement record

70-133-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−27.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 278 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.6% to +4.5%

278 closed positions · 515 taker fills · $44,361 deployed

Typical position $150 (median) · closing line value measured over 410 pre-event fills · 11% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer137 closed25–60-1.6%
Basketball77 closed28–35-1.7%
Tennis57 closed14–34–1-11.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-17	Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boissontennis · moneyline	Lois Boisson	lost	52¢ · -108	$218	−218
2026-08-12	Will Manchester United vs. Leeds United end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	exited	24¢ · +317	$120	—
2026-08-09	Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Under	lost	52¢ · -108	$149	−149
2026-08-07	Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5soccer · totals	Under	exited	53¢ · -113