Public evidence record

0x8987…02f3

0x89878c25fe61899e1d6fabec2d058c64c10902f3

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.2%486 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+1.3%$155,461 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.32%4,782 pre-event fills

Settlement record

214-271Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−43.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 486 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.7% to +3.3%

486 closed positions · 5,124 taker fills · $155,461 deployed

Typical position $44 (median) · closing line value measured over 4,782 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$39

Will FC Zhenis win on 2026-08-08?

No

entry 89¢ · -808now 50¢ · -100−39.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer382 closed158–223-7.5%
Basketball103 closed56–47-0.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 0 sports · 0 non-sports · 100 unlabeled. Unlabeled means we have not matched that condition to market metadata yet — not that it was removed.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	exited	42¢ · +138	$4	−0
2026-09-20	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	exited	39¢ · +156	$4	−0
2026-09-13	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	won	40¢ · +150	$17	−1
2026-09-13	Unlabeled marketUnlabeled	—	lost