Public evidence record

Samson1010

0x8a8385afa628ff7c9f8c33305329dbe49a15f2ed

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.8%184 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.6%$8,534 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.63%320 pre-event fills

Settlement record

71-93-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−11.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 184 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.1% to +9.6%

184 closed positions · 612 taker fills · $8,534 deployed

Typical position $26 (median) · closing line value measured over 320 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball64 closed32–28-2.8%
Soccer62 closed21–35-1.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-12	Combo: Over — Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 + Yes — Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo	—	lost	18¢ · +463	$5	−5
2026-09-12	Combo: Atlanta Braves — Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves + Milwaukee Brewers — Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers + Washington Nationals — Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals + Detroit Tigers — Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers + Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics + Boston Red Sox — Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox + Tampa Bay Rays — Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · combo	—	lost	4¢ · +2400	$4	−4
2026-09-03	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline	Milwaukee Brewers