Public evidence record

wasabeej

0x8b02c9e1ee95c1d9ec862af66b0cb69235fdb95f

Not ranked. market maker (55% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.7%1,697 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.4%$476,967 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.27%993 pre-event fills

Settlement record

920-219-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−18.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,697 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.6% to -0.8%

1,697 closed positions · 4,651 taker fills · $476,967 deployed

Typical position $125 (median) · closing line value measured over 993 pre-event fills · 55% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

25 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$57

Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?

Yes

entry 59¢ · -144now 57¢ · -133−2.0 pts

Open

value$43

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No

entry 71¢ · -248now 85¢ · -578+14.0 pts

Open

value$46

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes

entry 53¢ · -113now 44¢ · +129−9.2 pts

Open

value$47

Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?

Yes

entry 87¢ · -669now 94¢ · -1702

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,087 closed608–146-4.6%
Basketball522 closed252–53–1-1.9%
Soccer73 closed52–17-0.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Game Handicap · Games Total: O/U 3.5esports · totals	Over	exited	63¢ · -170	$64	−3
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Warriors	won	63¢ · -172	$449	+72
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Heat	lost	51¢ · -103	$156	−47
2026-11-06	Magic vs. Sunsbasketball · moneyline

wasabeej

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Yes

No

Yes

Yes

By sport

Position log

76ers

Cavaliers

No

Yes

No

Yes

No

No

Yes

Yes

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No

Yes

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Yes

Yes

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No

Yes