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Public evidence record
0x8b6ea144d98d0eccf1587ea61f17f77b4df9b1a7
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.3%385 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.5%$26,249 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.49%379 pre-event fillsSettlement record
256-127-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−25.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 385 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.4% to +1.7%
385 closed positions · 454 taker fills · $26,249 deployed
Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 379 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 83 sports · 17 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Kendre Miller: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5football · rushing yards | Over | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-04 | Rams vs. Eaglesfootball · moneyline | Rams | won | 63¢ · -170 | $74 | +43 |
| 2026-09-30 | Titans vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline | Ravens | won | 86¢ · -614 | $42 | +7 |
| 2026-09-30 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 157.5basketball · totals |
| Under |
| lost |
| 51¢ · -104 |
| $51 |
| −51 |
| 2026-09-30 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Chicago White Sox | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $70 | +4 |
| 2026-09-29 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline | Las Vegas Aces | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-09-28 | Packers vs. Buccaneersfootball · moneyline | Packers | won | 63¢ · -170 | $41 | +23 |
| 2026-09-28 | Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5football · rushing yards | Over | won | 65¢ · -189 | $30 | +16 |
| 2026-09-13 | Falcons vs. Steelersfootball · moneyline | Steelers | won | 73¢ · -270 | $51 | +18 |
| 2026-09-10 | Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 3.5football · receptions | Over | won | 55¢ · -121 | $51 | +40 |
| 2026-09-10 | Terrance Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5football · receptions | Over | lost | 59¢ · -142 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-08 | Oklahoma vs. Michiganfootball · moneyline | Oklahoma | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-09-03 | Louisville vs. Ole Miss · Spread Ole Miss (-7.5)football · spreads | Louisville | won | 57¢ · -132 | $51 | +37 |
| 2026-09-03 | Liberty vs. James Madison · Spread James Madison (-6.5)football · spreads | Liberty | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-08-04 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 63¢ · -170 | $102 | +57 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 68¢ · -212 | $51 | +23 |
| 2026-07-14 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $52 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1838 | $52 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Max Holloway | won | 71¢ · -245 | $30 | +12 |
| 2026-07-11 | Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -101 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 64¢ · -180 | $51 | +27 |
| 2026-07-07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1024 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | United States | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 67¢ · -203 | $50 | +24 |
| 2026-07-04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +964 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 86¢ · -614 | $50 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $50 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Egypt | won | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | +33 |
| 2026-06-30 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $31 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 69¢ · -223 | $20 | +9 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Canada | won | 75¢ · -300 | $50 | +16 |
| 2026-06-26 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $40 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | England vs. Ghana · Spread England (-1.5)soccer · spreads | England | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal vs. Uzbekistan · Spread Portugal (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Uzbekistan | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-22 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $31 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $20 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Will France win on 2026-06-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $100 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | +42 |
| 2026-06-13 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 81¢ · -426 | $20 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | Knicks vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 36¢ · +178 | $51 | +88 |
| 2026-06-13 | Knicks vs. Spurs · Spread Spurs (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Knicks | won | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | +47 |
| 2026-06-11 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $50 | — |
| 2026-06-10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4685 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-06-08 | Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 2.5basketball · points | Yes | lost | 99¢ · -8233 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-06-08 | Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5basketball · points | Yes | won | 99¢ · -8590 | $20 | +0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5basketball · points | Yes | won | 55¢ · -121 | $51 | +41 |
| 2026-06-04 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +8233 | $103 | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4900 | $103 | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1752 | $113 | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricaneshockey · moneyline | Hurricanes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $40 | +27 |
| 2026-06-03 | Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5basketball · rebounds | No | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-06-03 | Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5basketball · first half totals | Under | won | 55¢ · -122 | $51 | +40 |
| 2026-06-02 | Golden Knights vs. Hurricaneshockey · moneyline | Hurricanes | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-06-01 | Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinitennis · moneyline | Matteo Berrettini | won | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | +30 |
| 2026-05-28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $5 | +0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5basketball · totals | Over | lost | 68¢ · -211 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-05-27 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 75¢ · -300 | $404 | +129 |
| 2026-05-26 | Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | +42 |
| 2026-05-26 | Spread: Thunder (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Spurs | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-05-25 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers · James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5basketball · assists | No | won | 58¢ · -139 | $30 | +21 |
| 2026-05-25 | Knicks vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 57¢ · -133 | $20 | +15 |
| 2026-05-24 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5basketball · assists | Yes | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-24 | Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5basketball · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-05-24 | Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5basketball · totals | Over | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-23 | Canadiens vs. Hurricaneshockey · moneyline | Hurricanes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $30 | +15 |
| 2026-05-23 | Knicks vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 45¢ · +122 | $51 | +60 |
| 2026-05-23 | Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)basketball · spreads | Knicks | won | 79¢ · -376 | $20 | +5 |
| 2026-05-23 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 74¢ · -285 | $30 | +10 |
| 2026-05-23 | Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | won | 49¢ · +104 | $20 | +21 |
| 2026-05-21 | Cavaliers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 67¢ · -203 | $50 | +24 |
| 2026-05-20 | Spurs vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | won | 68¢ · -212 | $30 | +14 |
| 2026-05-19 | Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Athletics | won | 45¢ · +122 | $51 | +60 |
| 2026-05-19 | Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | won | 49¢ · +104 | $51 | +51 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cavaliers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 70¢ · -233 | $40 | +17 |
| 2026-05-18 | Spurs vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-17 | Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-05-14 | Will Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?Non-sports | No | won | 25¢ · +305 | $21 | +60 |
| 2026-05-14 | Wild vs. Avalanchehockey · moneyline | Wild | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-05-11 | Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?Non-sports | No | lost | 16¢ · +512 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-05-11 | Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?Non-sports | No | won | 87¢ · -681 | $252 | +18 |
| 2026-05-10 | Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?Non-sports | No | won | 16¢ · +525 | $42 | +208 |
| 2026-05-09 | Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbasketball · moneyline | Timberwolves | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-05-08 | Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?Non-sports | No | won | 66¢ · -190 | $51 | +25 |
| 2026-05-05 | Lakers vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | won | 87¢ · -669 | $20 | +3 |
| 2026-05-05 | Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | won | 59¢ · -144 | $30 | +20 |
| 2026-05-04 | Timberwolves vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | lost | 79¢ · -382 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-05-04 | 76ers vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | won | 71¢ · -245 | $40 | +16 |
| 2026-05-04 | Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?Non-sports | No | won | 29¢ · +250 | $31 | +74 |
| 2026-05-03 | Raptors vs. Cavaliersbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | won | 72¢ · -257 | $30 | +11 |
| 2026-05-03 | Magic vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | won | 75¢ · -300 | $30 | +10 |
| 2026-05-02 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5)basketball · spreads | 76ers | won | 49¢ · +104 | $20 | +21 |
| 2026-05-01 | Stars vs. Wildhockey · moneyline | Wild | won | 54¢ · -117 | $30 | +25 |
| 2026-05-01 | Celtics vs. 76ersbasketball · moneyline | Celtics | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-05-01 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbasketball · moneyline | Nuggets | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $50 | −50 |