Public evidence record

0x8c73…6daf

0x8c73d0083d00049fd1c6a1bae61e166bba436daf

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.8%2,353 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.6%$2,171,683 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.12%298 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1235-511-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−70.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,353 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.7% to -1.8%

2,353 closed positions · 5,671 taker fills · $2,171,683 deployed

Typical position $681 (median) · closing line value measured over 298 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$170

Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart

Harriet Dart

entry 41¢ · +144now 70¢ · -228+28.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,471 closed787–365–1-4.1%
Tennis730 closed379–113-3.4%
Baseball83 closed47–19-6.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikatatennis · moneyline	Rinky Hijikata	lost	58¢ · -138	$566	−411
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffsesports · moneyline	Natus Vincere	won	65¢ · -186	$305	+41
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Natus Vincere	won	51¢ · -105	$1,361	−468
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Natus Vincere