Public evidence record

0x8d10…940a

0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4af8354997f0c940a

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $7.82). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.2%10,555 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.5%$274,183 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.88%13,515 pre-event fills

Settlement record

5106-5255-114Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−446.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 10,555 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.2% to -1.3%

10,555 closed positions · 16,325 taker fills · $274,183 deployed

Typical position $8 (median) · closing line value measured over 13,515 pre-event fills · 27% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball3,323 closed1600–1713-5.0%
Esports2,830 closed1396–1386–27-1.0%
Tennis1,916 closed890–931–84-2.7%
Soccer1,621 closed799–814–1-5.9%
Basketball625 closed296–301–1-3.7%
Hockey160 closed82–74+0.5%
MMA74 closed39–34–1-2.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Browns vs. Buccaneersfootball · moneyline	Buccaneers	lost	14¢ · +629	$1,403	−1,403
2026-09-20	Spread: Bengals (-16.5)football · spreads	Texans	won	89¢ · -803	$355	+44
2026-09-20	Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5football · totals	Over	won	48¢ · +108	$480	+520
2026-09-19	Stonehill vs. UMass · Spread UMass (-30.5)football · spreads	Stonehill	won	46¢ · +117	$4