Public evidence record

Donrexee

0x8d636fcb185617d4826400b47c7d2f9fc48f8b8c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 13, 2026

Source sync: Oct 12, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.1%206 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.9%$49,339 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.63%397 pre-event fills

Settlement record

83-89-23Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−14.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 206 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.6% to +6.5%

206 closed positions · 419 taker fills · $49,339 deployed

Typical position $192 (median) · closing line value measured over 397 pre-event fills · 19% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$122

Will Smilla Sundell win in Round 3?

No

entry 31¢ · +225now 68¢ · -213+37.2 pts

Open

value$69

Will Smilla Sundell win in Round 2?

No

entry 29¢ · +249now 46¢ · +117+17.3 pts

Open

value$10

Will Douglas da Lapa win in Round 3?

No

entry 37¢ · +170now 48¢ · +111+10.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports61 closed19–30–8-8.7%
Soccer56 closed32–22–2-3.4%
Tennis52 closed18–16–13-0.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-11	Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 8.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners	Over	won	67¢ · -205	$585	+271
2026-10-10	Hurricanes vs. Flyershockey · moneyline	Flyers	lost	39¢ · +157	$204	−204
2026-10-10	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: Malaysia vs Maldivessoccer · moneyline	Malaysia	won	81¢ · -426	$90	+20
2026-10-10	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions