Public evidence record

lavendergooms

0x9079e3b10d8422844afd9cb7f36468a3c6a0b19b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.4%2,527 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.5%$282,856 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.86%1,643 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1323-1072-64Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−62.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,527 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.7% to +1.9%

2,527 closed positions · 18,281 taker fills · $282,856 deployed

Typical position $37 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,643 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1101

Porto: Valentina Steiner vs Caroline Werner

Valentina Steiner

entry 76¢ · -314now 100¢+24.1 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,117 closed613–437–45-2.0%
Baseball811 closed432–346-0.4%
Esports201 closed72–108–19-13.0%
Hockey190 closed96–92+1.8%
Basketball169 closed87–73-0.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Kristina Mladenovic vs Nao Hibinotennis · moneyline	Kristina Mladenovic	lost	38¢ · +162	$39	−3
2026-09-21	Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline	Colts	lost	24¢ · +317	$405	−405
2026-09-21	Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline	Chiefs	won	79¢ · -376	$3	+1
2026-09-21	Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	70¢ · -233	$280