Public evidence record

lavendergooms

0x9079e3b10d8422844afd9cb7f36468a3c6a0b19b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.1%2,887 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+4.3%$346,126 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.74%2,026 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1473-1279-65Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−58.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,887 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.2% to -0.0%

2,887 closed positions · 20,880 taker fills · $346,126 deployed

Typical position $38 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,026 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$314

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Villanova Wildcats

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

entry 40¢ · +150now 26¢ · +292−14.6 pts

Open

value$1644

Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins

Jacksonville Dolphins

entry 92¢ · -1163now 55¢ · -123−36.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,316 closed689–559–45-3.9%
Baseball838 closed443–362-1.2%
Hockey222 closed110–110+0.0%
Basketball213 closed109–94–1-1.2%
Esports201 closed72–108–19-13.4%
Football95 closed49–45-7.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	No	won	71¢ · -245	$216	—
2026-11-06	Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	No	won	73¢ · -270	$21	—
2026-11-03	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-11-02?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	58¢ · -138	$258	—
2026-11-03	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-11-02?soccer · moneyline