Public evidence record

0x91bc…28d6

0x91bc7b692a7087f7cf26e597714a3430e4b028d6

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.0%1,115 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.0%$101,312 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.07%702 pre-event fills

Settlement record

497-528-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−122.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,115 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.1% to -1.8%

1,115 closed positions · 1,572 taker fills · $101,312 deployed

Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 702 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

4 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$291

Spread: New Mexico (-14.5)

San Jose State

entry 51¢ · -104now 50¢ · +102−1.5 pts

Open

value$331

Spread: NC State (-6.5)

NC State

entry 54¢ · -117now 60¢ · -147+5.5 pts

Open

value$292

Spread: Liberty (-13.5)

Liberty

entry 54¢ · -117now 53¢ · -111−1.5 pts

Open

value$328

Spread: UNLV (-23.5)

Northern Illinois

entry 49¢ · +104now 54¢ · -115+4.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports431 closed169–217–1-12.8%
Baseball246 closed125–115-6.0%
Football112 closed60–50-2.7%
MMA93 closed37–48–2-5.0%
Basketball78 closed31–32-2.3%
Soccer71 closed38–27-0.9%
Hockey62 closed33–22-0.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Combo: Yes — SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · combo	—	lost	40¢ · +152	$100	−100
2026-11-06	Combo: Luca Van Assche — Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata + Ben Shelton — Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paultennis · combo	—	won	27¢ · +273	$100	+260
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffsesports · moneyline	PARIVISION	lost	30¢ · +233	$52	−25