Public evidence record

0x9334…32da

0x9334346fc7007394240482787633e5b2b21a32da

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.2%765 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.9%$68,789 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.74%749 pre-event fills

Settlement record

511-221Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−39.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 765 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.1% to +0.7%

765 closed positions · 1,144 taker fills · $68,789 deployed

Typical position $60 (median) · closing line value measured over 749 pre-event fills · 24% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$31

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes

entry 77¢ · -333now 78¢ · -360+1.4 pts

Open

value$32

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down

entry 62¢ · -162now 80¢ · -400+18.1 pts

Open

value$30

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Yes

entry 68¢ · -209now 67¢ · -201−0.8 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Football331 closed232–83-3.5%
Basketball310 closed214–87-2.8%
Baseball67 closed34–29-4.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 0 sports · 100 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETNon-sports	Up	won	63¢ · -173	$6	+3
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETNon-sports	Down	won	62¢ · -164	$4	+2
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETNon-sports	Up	lost	52¢ · -108	$2	−2
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET