Public evidence record

chrisyang1m

0x94126c78290aacd47462fc8db11f5549c527730e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.1%300 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.7%$11,160 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.55%258 pre-event fills

Settlement record

164-133Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−23.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 300 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.5% to +0.2%

300 closed positions · 442 taker fills · $11,160 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 258 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$220

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Yes

entry 45¢ · +122now 50¢ · +102+4.5 pts

Open

value$55

Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Yes

entry 10¢ · +887now 11¢ · +805+0.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer104 closed57–45-7.6%
Baseball101 closed54–47-8.2%
Basketball58 closed34–24-3.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-18	Counter-Strike · Games Total: O/U 2.5esports · totals	Over	lost	57¢ · -130	$41	−36
2026-09-18	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline	Vitality	won	69¢ · -223	$91	+12
2026-09-16	Combo: Yes — Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? + Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? + Yes — Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16? + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?soccer · combo	—	lost	34¢ · +194	$20	−20
2026-09-16