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Public evidence record
0x96ea56c11c8f023c121a4c346e6cebc74420639a
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-10.5%236 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-4.8%$38,270 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
Insufficient sample26 pre-event fillsSettlement record
74-123Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−27.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 236 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -19.5% to -1.6%
236 closed positions · 668 taker fills · $38,270 deployed
Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 26 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline | Heat | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $110 | −110 |
| 2026-11-06 | Utah vs. Canadienshockey · moneyline | Canadiens | won | 21¢ · +378 | $143 | +59 |
| 2026-11-05 | Combo: Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) + Yes — Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?soccer · combo | — | lost | 6¢ · +1527 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? |
| Yes |
| won |
| 17¢ · +488 |
| $99 |
| — |
| 2026-11-05 | Mavericks vs. Spursbasketball · moneyline | Mavericks | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-11-05 | Spread: 76ers (-12.5)basketball · spreads | 76ers | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-11-05 | 76ers vs. Pistonsbasketball · moneyline | Pistons | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $40 | −8 |
| 2026-11-05 | 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5basketball · totals | Over | won | 39¢ · +157 | $72 | −32 |
| 2026-11-04 | Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $186 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Spread: Ducks (-1.5)hockey · spreads | Canucks | won | 50¢ · -101 | $96 | +91 |
| 2026-11-04 | Ducks vs. Canuckshockey · moneyline | Canucks | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-11-04 | Oilers vs. Devilshockey · moneyline | Oilers | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $144 | −144 |
| 2026-11-03 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 44¢ · +127 | $120 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $83 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Combo: Yes — FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score + VfB Stuttgart — Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)soccer · combo | — | lost | 15¢ · +570 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-11-03 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $2 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 29¢ · +245 | $72 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $77 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Celtics vs. Rocketsbasketball · moneyline | Celtics | exited | 16¢ · +525 | $52 | −16 |
| 2026-11-03 | Kings vs. Mavericksbasketball · moneyline | Kings | won | 39¢ · +155 | $93 | +137 |
| 2026-11-03 | Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)basketball · spreads | Kings | won | 61¢ · -155 | $100 | +58 |
| 2026-11-03 | Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Thunder | won | 49¢ · +104 | $79 | +78 |
| 2026-11-02 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 25¢ · +300 | $8 | — |
| 2026-11-02 | Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 27¢ · +267 | $151 | — |
| 2026-11-02 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $154 | — |
| 2026-11-02 | Al-Ittihad Club vs. Al Ain FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 32¢ · +213 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-11-02 | Spread: Warriors (-4.5)basketball · spreads | Clippers | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $29 | −29 |
| 2026-11-02 | Clippers vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline | Clippers | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $92 | −64 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: Yes — Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? + Yes — Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? + Yes — Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?soccer · combo | — | lost | 6¢ · +1626 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $57 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF · Spread Real Madrid CF (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Real Racing Club | exited | 66¢ · -194 | $198 | +97 |
| 2026-11-01 | Combo: No — UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card) + No — UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card) + No — UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | exited | 18¢ · +464 | $50 | +220 |
| 2026-11-01 | UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Luana Santos | exited | 61¢ · -156 | $12 | +6 |
| 2026-11-01 | UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Farman Hasanov | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-10-31 | UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Julian Erosa | exited | 48¢ · +109 | $39 | +39 |
| 2026-10-31 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Bilibili Gaming | won | 45¢ · +122 | $77 | +89 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Non-sports | No | lost | 1¢ · +8817 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-10-31 | UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Talita Alencar | exited | 24¢ · +311 | $42 | −26 |
| 2026-10-31 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2464 | $3 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 37¢ · +170 | $144 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC · Spread Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 39¢ · +154 | $41 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Spread: Warriors (-6.5)basketball · spreads | Lakers | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-10-31 | Nuggets vs. Suns · Spread Nuggets (-5.5)basketball · spreads | Suns | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $85 | −31 |
| 2026-10-31 | Rockets vs. Mavericksbasketball · moneyline | Mavericks | won | 62¢ · -162 | $200 | +81 |
| 2026-10-31 | Knicks vs. 76ersbasketball · moneyline | Knicks | lost | 47¢ · +112 | $35 | −30 |
| 2026-10-31 | Magic vs. Raptorsbasketball · moneyline | Magic | won | 49¢ · +104 | $145 | +86 |
| 2026-10-30 | Jets vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5hockey · totals | Under | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $67 | −67 |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $98 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -137 | $101 | −75 |
| 2026-10-29 | Jets vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Under | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-10-25 | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | LYON | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $14 | −14 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 49¢ · +102 | $80 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 45¢ · +125 | $27 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 0¢ · +99900 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Spread: 76ers (-12.5)basketball · spreads | 76ers | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $70 | −70 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight end before Round 5?mma · ufc round of finish | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Alexander Volkov — UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) + Losene Keita — UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · combo | — | lost | 25¢ · +301 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Rizvan Kuniev | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $143 | −142 |
| 2026-10-23 | Combo: Cavaliers — Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) + Patriots — Patriots vs. Bearsmulti sport · combo | — | lost | 29¢ · +246 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-10-23 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +533 | $1 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Cavaliers vs. 76ersbasketball · moneyline | Cavaliers | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-10-23 | Patriots vs. Bearsfootball · moneyline | Patriots | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $41 | −16 |
| 2026-10-19 | Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +675 | $6 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Cleveland Guardians | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $135 | −135 |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | lost | 24¢ · +320 | $614 | −268 |
| 2026-10-18 | Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-18?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 46¢ · +117 | $97 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $102 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 44¢ · +125 | $206 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-10-18 | UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Erin Blanchfield | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $185 | −136 |
| 2026-10-18 | UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Jasmine Jasudavicius | won | 26¢ · +285 | $98 | +93 |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta United FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $89 | −89 |
| 2026-10-18 | UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Marc-Andre Barriault | won | 36¢ · +178 | $69 | +117 |
| 2026-10-17 | UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Chad Anheliger | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $70 | −70 |
| 2026-10-17 | Bucks vs. Pacersbasketball · moneyline | Pacers | lost | 43¢ · +131 | $71 | −71 |
| 2026-10-15 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $71 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $195 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $83 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $201 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $155 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Will LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +12400 | $4 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | Warriors vs. Lakersbasketball · moneyline | Lakers | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $193 | −193 |
| 2026-10-14 | Warriors vs. Lakers · Spread Lakers (-7.5)basketball · spreads | Warriors | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $144 | +49 |
| 2026-10-14 | Pacers vs. Thunder · Spread Thunder (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Pacers | won | 57¢ · -133 | $84 | +59 |
| 2026-10-14 | Pacers vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Pacers | lost | 39¢ · +154 | $212 | −19 |
| 2026-10-13 | Bills vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Bills | won | 52¢ · -106 | $324 | +131 |
| 2026-10-13 | Combo: Bills — Bills vs. Rams + Under — Bills vs. Rams: O/U 46.5football · combo | — | lost | 12¢ · +755 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-10-12 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $35 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $61 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | Bengals vs. Dolphinsfootball · moneyline | Dolphins | exited | 28¢ · +257 | $72 | −45 |
| 2026-10-11 | Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 35¢ · +186 | $41 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Brendan Allen | won | 53¢ · -115 | $146 | +63 |
| 2026-10-11 | Combo: Jai Herbert — UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) + Christian Leroy Duncan — UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | exited | 20¢ · +407 | $45 | +54 |
| 2026-10-11 | UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Jai Herbert | won | 37¢ · +170 | $134 | +214 |
| 2026-10-11 | UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Ketlen Souza | lost | 53¢ · -112 | $164 | −163 |
| 2026-10-04 | Heat vs. Raptorsbasketball · moneyline | Raptors | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $112 | −111 |
| 2026-10-01 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Boston Red Sox | exited | 30¢ · +231 | $414 | −376 |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $207 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $14 | — |