Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22?
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Public evidence record
0x981a15f0addb8514cc9e7605c450ae9349fd048c
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.4%143 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.0%$11,514 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.59%127 pre-event fillsSettlement record
140-0Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−1.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 143 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.5% to -2.2%
143 closed positions · 308 taker fills · $11,514 deployed
Typical position $91 (median) · closing line value measured over 127 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 81 sports · 19 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -4662 | $30 | +1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 3 US Lecce?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $29 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Juventus FC 1 - 3 Atalanta BC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $29 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 7.5 |
| Under |
| won |
| 98¢ · -6567 |
| $29 |
| +0 |
| 2026-09-20 | CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 7.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $29 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | CA River Plate vs. CA Huracán: O/U 6.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $28 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -7043 | $28 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $27 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | lost | 99¢ · -12400 | $28 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Club Puebla vs. Atlante FC · Spread Atlante FC (-3.5)soccer · spreads | Club Puebla | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $28 | +0 |
| 2026-09-18 | CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 6.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $28 | +0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 98¢ · -6150 | $28 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Exact Score: CR Flamengo 3 - 3 Independiente del Valle?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $28 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $28 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -5163 | $27 | +0 |
| 2026-09-17 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $26 | +1 |
| 2026-09-16 | Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 0.5totals · Non-sports | Over | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $6 | +0 |
| 2026-09-16 | LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 73¢ · -270 | $19 | +7 |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -16567 | $19 | +0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 2 CA Osasuna?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $19 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 3 CA Boca Juniors?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -8233 | $19 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 3 - 3 Independiente Santa Fe?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $19 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 98¢ · -5782 | $19 | +0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2532 | $18 | +1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Exact Score: CD Riestra 3 - 3 CA Lanús?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $18 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 97¢ · -3348 | $17 | +0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $17 | +1 |
| 2026-09-14 | CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $16 | +1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Exact Score: CA Independiente 0 - 3 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $16 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $15 | +1 |
| 2026-09-13 | SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $15 | +0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 99¢ · -8991 | $15 | +0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Exact Score: CF Monterrey 0 - 3 Tigres de la UANL?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -8991 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $14 | +1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · Spread Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Real Madrid CF | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $14 | +0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 3 Elche CF?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Fulham FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -16567 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Exact Score: Club Tijuana 0 - 3 Querétaro FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -8991 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Exact Score: CA Boca Juniors 0 - 3 CA Central Córdoba?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Exact Score: CSyD Defensa y Justicia 3 - 3 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -16567 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 3 Valencia CF?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: CS Cienciano 0 - 3 Montevideo City Torque?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Sabah FK?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5)soccer · spreads | PSV | won | 99¢ · -7592 | $13 | +0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 3 LDU de Quito?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Arsenal FC | won | 99¢ · -16567 | $13 | +0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Feyenoord Rotterdam?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -16567 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Exact Score: CA Boca Juniors 0 - 3 São Paulo FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Exact Score: Fluminense FC 0 - 3 CA Platense?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -49900 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Real Madrid CF | won | 98¢ · -5163 | $13 | +0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Exact Score: CA Unión 3 - 3 Instituto AC Córdoba?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | Exact Score: CA Barracas Central 3 - 3 AA Argentinos Juniors?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 3 - 3 SS Lazio?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | Exact Score: Cagliari Calcio 3 - 3 US Lecce?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Santos Laguna · Spread Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)soccer · spreads | CF Cruz Azul | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $13 | +0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Spread: Benin (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Mexico | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $12 | +0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: FC Juárez 3 - 3 CF Pachuca?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $12 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | Exact Score: CA Belgrano 0 - 3 CA Huracán?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $12 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF · Spread Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Real Madrid CF | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $12 | +0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Olympique Lyonnais vs. AJ Auxerre · Spread AJ Auxerre (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Olympique Lyonnais | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $12 | +0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $12 | +0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $12 | +0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Exact Score: Palermo FC 0 - 3 Mantova 1911?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $12 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 0 - 3 Club León FC?esports · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -10189 | $12 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Exact Score: Burnley FC 3 - 2 Middlesbrough FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 0 - 3 Venezia FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -14053 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Exact Score: Fortaleza CEIF 3 - 0 Once Caldas?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -12400 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Exact Score: Torino FC 0 - 3 AC Monza?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Exact Score: Parma Calcio 1913 0 - 3 US Cremonese?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -10486 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Exact Score: Estudiantes de La Plata 0 - 3 CA Newell's Old Boys?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -19900 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Exact Score: US Lecce 3 - 3 AS Roma?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 100¢ · -33233 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Exact Score: CF Monterrey 3 - 2 Atlético San Luis?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 98¢ · -4248 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 3 - 3 FC Juárez?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: CA Independiente 0 - 3 CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?soccer · soccer exact score | No | lost | 100¢ · -19900 | $29 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)soccer · spreads | FC Internazionale Milano | won | 100¢ · -19900 | $28 | +0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 2 Málaga CF?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $28 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 3 - 0 Fulham FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 98¢ · -6567 | $28 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: Club Santos Laguna 3 - 0 Tigres de la UANL?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -11011 | $28 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: Atlas FC 0 - 3 Querétaro FC?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 99¢ · -8991 | $27 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 1 - 2 Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata?soccer · soccer exact score | No | lost | 94¢ · -1654 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 1 Parma Calcio 1913?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 98¢ · -4445 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 3 - 3 Frosinone Calcio?soccer · soccer exact score | No | won | 97¢ · -2930 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 99¢ · -9900 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-08-06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 100¢ · -24900 | $40 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -14186 | $40 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $40 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $39 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $39 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $38 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9896 | $38 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $38 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $37 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $37 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $33 | +0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 98¢ · -4900 | $36 | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 100¢ · -62007 | $36 | +0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $36 | +0 |
| 2026-08-04 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 97¢ · -3233 | $35 | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 100¢ · -26325 | $34 | +0 |