Public evidence record

mando88

0x98689f5983898c1da0ec7a9f0864d478f3bee82b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.6%2,052 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+7.4%$226,274 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+2.24%379 pre-event fills

Settlement record

953-1036-58Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−33.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,052 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.3% to +3.1%

2,052 closed positions · 8,081 taker fills · $226,274 deployed

Typical position $57 (median) · closing line value measured over 379 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports695 closed287–376–29-5.9%
Tennis617 closed294–298–23-0.8%
Soccer376 closed191–180–5+3.0%
Basketball209 closed103–106-6.3%
Baseball119 closed55–63–1-6.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-03	Toledo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5football · totals	Over	won	63¢ · -167	$130	+78
2026-10-03	Mercyhurst vs. LIU · Spread LIU (-10.5)football · spreads	Mercyhurst	won	74¢ · -279	$143	−11
2026-10-03	Stanford vs. Wake Forest: O/U 57.5football · totals	Over	won	31¢ · +220	$250	+549
2026-10-03	Stanford vs. Wake Forest: O/U 63.5football · totals