Public evidence record

0x98e1…3241

0x98e1d7e6bca91c3d80c452dac59bc40f58863241

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-11.3%653 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-8.7%$508,953 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-3.43%127 pre-event fills

Settlement record

209-385-6Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−67.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 653 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -19.0% to -3.5%

653 closed positions · 1,191 taker fills · $508,953 deployed

Typical position $450 (median) · closing line value measured over 127 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball300 closed95–175–3-6.8%
Tennis105 closed32–64-10.9%
Soccer93 closed29–54–2-6.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 87 sports · 13 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-19	Combo: San Diego Padres — Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres + Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers + Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels + Pittsburgh Pirates — Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates + Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles + Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies + New York Yankees — New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks + Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · combo	—	lost	2¢ · +4045	$978	−978
2026-09-17	Combo: Over — Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5 + Over — Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5 + Los Angeles Dodgers — Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds + San Diego Padres — San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies + Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates + No — Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?multi sport · combo	—	lost	8¢ · +1143	$2,023	−2,023
2026-09-17