Public evidence record

rocketman123

0x99584af850e7249365af3cc6e954b76a2b33b9ac

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.4%2,310 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.2%$481,626 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.24%518 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1097-842-8Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−135.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,310 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.4% to -1.5%

2,310 closed positions · 3,608 taker fills · $481,626 deployed

Typical position $203 (median) · closing line value measured over 518 pre-event fills · 21% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,060 closed490–394–5-5.8%
Soccer536 closed251–205–2-4.4%
Baseball199 closed96–66-2.2%
Tennis197 closed100–61-5.9%
Football121 closed58–51-8.0%
Basketball89 closed51–24-1.7%
MMA66 closed28–25–1-4.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETNon-sports	Down	lost	47¢ · +113	$21	−21
2026-11-06	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paultennis · moneyline	Ben Shelton	won	66¢ · -194	$217	+106
2026-11-06	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paultennis · moneyline	Tommy Paul	exited	54¢ · -117	$205	−24
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner