Public evidence record

Juontaja

0x99fe14c4dc4f34312a5858966982fbc1e24cb61c

Not ranked. market maker (30% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-8.1%2,318 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.7%$231,586 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.10%2,090 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1001-1249-17Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−114.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,318 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.3% to -3.9%

2,318 closed positions · 3,047 taker fills · $231,586 deployed

Typical position $74 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,090 pre-event fills · 30% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

5 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$27

Will LYON win Worlds 2026?

Yes

entry 1¢now 1¢+0.1 pts

Open

value$10

Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes

entry 1¢ · +9074now 1¢−0.4 pts

Open

value$71

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 10¢ · +902now 14¢ · +607+4.2 pts

Open

value$17

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes

entry 4¢ · +2471now 4¢ · +2678−0.3 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,696 closed712–924–16-8.2%
Soccer205 closed99–104-5.6%
Basketball112 closed51–60-5.8%
Football93 closed47–45-5.7%
MMA90 closed36–52–1-7.9%
Tennis69 closed34–34-5.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 93 sports · 7 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffsesports · moneyline	PARIVISION	lost	55¢ · -122	$84	−84
2026-11-06	Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Mullertennis · moneyline	Alexandre Muller	lost	36¢ · +178	$31	−31
2026-11-06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liutennis · moneyline	Claire Liu	won	53¢ · -113	$60	+50
2026-11-06