Public evidence record

0x9abb…3f96

0x9abbdf321694eec4028e9b3be0d2a07a662f3f96

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-13.9%2,295 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.9%$934,855 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.60%931 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1180-819-10Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−25.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,295 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.7% to -11.1%

2,295 closed positions · 4,818 taker fills · $934,855 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 931 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$201

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes

entry 67¢ · -203now 68¢ · -208+0.5 pts

Open

value$115

Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva

Elena Rybakina

entry 87¢ · -669now 100¢+13.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,117 closed633–333–8-9.6%
Soccer524 closed242–222–2-16.4%
Basketball185 closed89–70-11.1%
Baseball156 closed81–57-9.7%
Hockey151 closed73–55-7.3%
multi sport64 closed10–51-29.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-03	Combo: Over — Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 38.5 + Seahawks — Bears vs. Seahawksfootball · combo	—	lost	47¢ · +114	$23	−23
2026-11-02	Combo: Ugo Humbert — Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp + Nishesh Basavareddy — Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Milos Karol + Over — Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 + Seahawks — Bears vs. Seahawks + Rafael Jodar — Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar + Karen Khachanov — Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov + Zizou Bergs — Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs + Casper Ruud — Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo + Mary Stoiana — Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoianamulti sport · combo	—	lost	5¢ · +1898	$10	−10
2026-11-02	Eagles vs. Commandersfootball · moneyline	Commanders