Public evidence record

Bernie.L.

0x9b139369282dc26b0b511ea44c376d2a755437db

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.1%948 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.7%$113,047 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.29%138 pre-event fills

Settlement record

506-292-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−57.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 948 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.5% to +0.3%

948 closed positions · 1,917 taker fills · $113,047 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 138 pre-event fills · 21% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports489 closed248–138–3-6.0%
Baseball176 closed98–61-4.6%
Soccer116 closed66–44-1.5%
Tennis87 closed54–22-6.8%
Football53 closed24–17-6.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 8 sports · 92 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETNon-sports	Up	lost	15¢ · +570	$53	−53
2026-11-06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETNon-sports	Down	lost	14¢ · +590	$46	+8
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETNon-sports	Down	won	95¢ · -1900	$100	+5
2026-11-06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET