Will Cincinnati have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Loading this page’s records…
Loading this page’s records…
Public evidence record
0x9b292d6d18c1f9837af7edfc9b897d8a0fe88373
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.0%484 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+0.9%$124,051 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-2.43%221 pre-event fillsSettlement record
194-269-17Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−70.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 484 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.1% to +6.0%
484 closed positions · 714 taker fills · $124,051 deployed
Typical position $106 (median) · closing line value measured over 221 pre-event fills · 32% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will Cincinnati have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Chiefs | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Colts | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-09-20 | Daniel Jones: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5football · passing attempts | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Colts vs. Chiefs: 4Q Moneylinefootball · q4 moneyline |
Will Washington have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Colorado have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will North Carolina have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will UCLA have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will TCU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Clemson have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Colorado have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Florida State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Utah State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Louisville have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Kansas have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Washington have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Syracuse have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Florida State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will South Carolina have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Louisville have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will UCLA have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Utah have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Florida State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Will Louisville have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
| Colts |
| won |
| 38¢ · +163 |
| $14 |
| +23 |
| 2026-09-20 | Colts vs. Chiefs: 3Q Moneylinefootball · q3 moneyline | Colts | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-09-20 | Colts vs. Chiefs: 2H Moneylinefootball · second half moneyline | Colts | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-09-20 | Colts vs. Chiefs: 2Q Moneylinefootball · q2 moneyline | Colts | won | 37¢ · +170 | $11 | +19 |
| 2026-09-20 | Raiders vs. Chargers: 2H Moneylinefootball · second half moneyline | Raiders | won | 31¢ · +223 | $0 | +1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Packers vs. Jets · Spread Jets (-1.5)football · spreads | Packers | won | 58¢ · -138 | $419 | +303 |
| 2026-09-20 | Packers vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline | Packers | won | 60¢ · -150 | $600 | +400 |
| 2026-09-20 | Panthers vs. Falcons: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Falcons | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-20 | Steelers vs. Patriots: 4Q Moneylinefootball · q4 moneyline | Steelers | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $0 | −0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Titans Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5football · team touchdowns | Under | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-20 | Packers vs. Jets · Spread Packers (-3.5)football · spreads | Packers | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bears Team Total: O/U 27.5football · team totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $27 | +23 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 49¢ · +103 | $46 | +46 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Gable Steveson win in Round 1?mma · ufc round of victory | No | won | 34¢ · +194 | $67 | +124 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will the fight end before Round 2?mma · ufc round of finish | No | lost | 28¢ · +251 | $295 | −295 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 13¢ · +669 | $77 | +492 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | JooSang Yoo | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $47 | −47 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Michael Aswell | won | 39¢ · +156 | $134 | +199 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Brunno Ferreira | lost | 4¢ · +2212 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-19 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 56¢ · -127 | $3,711 | +2,773 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?Non-sports | No | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $979 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 18¢ · +456 | $19 | +81 |
| 2026-09-19 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 48¢ · +111 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-19 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | won | 64¢ · -178 | $1 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will the fight end before Round 3?mma · ufc round of finish | No | won | 20¢ · +400 | $2 | +10 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Patricio Pitbull | won | 29¢ · +245 | $137 | +320 |
| 2026-09-17 | Lions vs. Bills: 1Q Moneylinefootball · q1 moneyline | Lions | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-09-14 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Broncos | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-09-13 | Commanders vs. Eagles: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Commanders | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $74 | −74 |
| 2026-09-13 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | won | 64¢ · -178 | $24 | +13 |
| 2026-09-12 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 40¢ · +150 | $68 | +102 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Jose Miguel Delgado win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $67 | −67 |
| 2026-09-12 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 79¢ · -376 | $8 | +2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Manon Fiorot | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $28 | −28 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Marwan Rahiki | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Waldo Cortes Acosta | lost | 38¢ · +162 | $89 | −89 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Alexa Grasso | won | 28¢ · +257 | $104 | +253 |
| 2026-09-12 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 66¢ · -192 | $163 | +81 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: Dan Ige vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Dan Ige | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $109 | −109 |
| 2026-09-12 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $62 | +72 |
| 2026-09-12 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $424 | −424 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Drakkar Klose | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $107 | −107 |
| 2026-09-12 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma vs. Michigan: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Michigan | won | 41¢ · +142 | $57 | +78 |
| 2026-09-12 | Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Rafa Garcia | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-11 | Missouri vs. Kansas: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Kansas | push | 42¢ · +140 | $216 | +41 |
| 2026-09-09 | Jadarian Price: Anytime Touchdownfootball · anytime touchdowns | No | won | 61¢ · -154 | $165 | +102 |
| 2026-09-07 | SMU vs. Florida State: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Florida State | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $23 | −23 |
| 2026-09-07 | Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame · Spread Notre Dame (-21.5)football · spreads | Wisconsin | lost | 57¢ · -132 | $29 | −29 |
| 2026-09-07 | Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500?racing | Yes | won | 99¢ · -9900 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | 2H Spread: Ole Miss (-2.5)football · second half spreads | Louisville | won | 47¢ · +113 | $12 | +12 |
| 2026-09-06 | Louisville vs. Ole Miss: 1H Moneylinefootball · first half moneyline | Louisville | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-09-05 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Nursulton Ruziboev | lost | 29¢ · +248 | $163 | −163 |
| 2026-09-05 | UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Axel Sola | won | 41¢ · +144 | $155 | +212 |
| 2026-09-05 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 70¢ · -237 | $482 | +194 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | won | 34¢ · +194 | $13 | +25 |
| 2026-09-05 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | won | 61¢ · -156 | $38 | +24 |
| 2026-09-05 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-05 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 60¢ · -150 | $15 | +9 |
| 2026-09-05 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-09-05 | UFC Fight Night: Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Muhammad Naimov | lost | 22¢ · +354 | $348 | −348 |
| 2026-09-05 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $30 | +20 |
| 2026-09-05 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-05 | UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Modestas Bukauskas | won | 32¢ · +213 | $213 | +451 |
| 2026-09-05 | UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Pavel Andrusca (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Pavel Andrusca | won | 34¢ · +194 | $7 | +15 |
| 2026-09-05 | UFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Klaudia Sygula (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nora Cornolle | won | 48¢ · +108 | $53 | +58 |
| 2026-09-05 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $30 | +20 |
| 2026-09-05 | UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Ryan Spann | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $260 | −260 |
| 2026-09-04 | Toledo vs. Michigan State: 4Q Moneylinefootball · q4 moneyline | Toledo | lost | 33¢ · +202 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-08-30 | Hawaii vs. Stanford: 4Q Moneylinefootball · q4 moneyline | Hawaii | won | 21¢ · +381 | $5 | +18 |
| 2026-08-29 | Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin': 2H Moneylinefootball · second half moneyline | Memphis | won | 38¢ · +161 | $269 | +411 |
| 2026-08-29 | Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin': 4Q Moneylinefootball · q4 moneyline | Memphis | won | 40¢ · +150 | $553 | +789 |
| 2026-08-29 | Hawaii vs. Stanford: 2H Moneylinefootball · second half moneyline | Hawaii | lost | 37¢ · +171 | $106 | −106 |
| 2026-08-29 | Sacramento State Hornets vs. Eastern Michigan: 2H Moneylinefootball · second half moneyline | Sacramento State Hornets | push | 27¢ · +270 | $112 | +88 |
| 2026-08-29 | North Carolina vs. TCUfootball · moneyline | TCU | lost | 24¢ · +325 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-08-29 | North Carolina vs. TCU: 2H Moneylinefootball · second half moneyline | North Carolina | won | 26¢ · +285 | $45 | +122 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will Oregon have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Non-sports | No | won | 77¢ · -337 | $78 | +22 |
| 2026-08-23 | O/U 3.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 80¢ · -400 | $20 | +5 |
| 2026-08-23 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 42¢ · +138 | $22 | +28 |
| 2026-08-23 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 51¢ · -104 | $199 | +182 |
| 2026-08-23 | O/U 4.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 21¢ · +376 | $55 | +198 |
| 2026-08-23 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 62¢ · -163 | $220 | +128 |
| 2026-08-23 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 29¢ · +245 | $30 | +70 |
| 2026-08-23 | UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Roman Dolidze | lost | 23¢ · +335 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-08-23 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $284 | −284 |
| 2026-08-23 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-08-23 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 28¢ · +252 | $225 | −225 |
| 2026-08-22 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $29 | −29 |
| 2026-08-22 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $10 | +8 |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nasrat Haqparast | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $4 | −4 |
| 2026-08-22 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 80¢ · -400 | $85 | +20 |
| 2026-08-21 | UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Jeisla Chaves | lost | 16¢ · +508 | $216 | −216 |