Public evidence record

Radoslawuss

0x9b559c039873cd794668492af33b748b6b0a1167

Not ranked. market maker (35% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.0%1,208 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.8%$1,480,586 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.66%227 pre-event fills

Settlement record

830-143-5Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−11.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,208 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.2% to -0.8%

1,208 closed positions · 3,196 taker fills · $1,480,586 deployed

Typical position $699 (median) · closing line value measured over 227 pre-event fills · 35% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

20 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$797

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?

No

entry 97¢ · -2949now 92¢ · -1174−4.6 pts

Open

value$3448

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?

No

entry 90¢ · -885now 99¢+9.3 pts

Open

value$2555

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?

Yes

entry 99¢ · -8097now 99¢+0.3 pts

Open

value$1139

Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $4M and $5M?

No

entry 99¢ · -9801now 99¢+0.5 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball373 closed215–66–1-4.7%
Soccer306 closed208–32–3-4.3%
Football213 closed187–13–1-2.4%
Tennis130 closed84–6-4.4%
MMA77 closed50–20-3.6%
Basketball55 closed44–5-5.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 61 sports · 39 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-11-06?soccer · moneyline	No	won	99¢ · -7032	$13,013	—
2026-11-06	Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Arizona Wildcatsbasketball · moneyline	Arizona Wildcats	won	100¢ · -78869	$2,608	+3
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Warriors	won	99¢ · -11758	$3,434	+28
2026-11-06	Pacific Tigers vs. Washington Huskies (W)