Public evidence record

bludd

0x9b78d30429db0aadbc1f7f7b03acee3bfc12473d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+19.0%2,498 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+6.8%$547,967 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample14 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1108-600Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−52.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,498 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: +15.7% to +22.4%

2,498 closed positions · 11,030 taker fills · $547,967 deployed

Typical position $26 (median) · closing line value measured over 14 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer2,468 closed1085–593+19.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	Will VV Sparta Nijkerk win on 2026-09-23?soccer · moneyline	Yes	exited	75¢ · -300	$4	—
2026-09-23	Will VV Gemert win on 2026-09-23?soccer · moneyline	Yes	exited	55¢ · -122	$112	—
2026-09-23	Birmingham Legion FC vs. Brooklyn FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals	Over	won	30¢ · +230	$23	+52
2026-09-22	Will Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	No	exited	75¢ · -300