Public evidence record

steamcatfish

0x9bb67077d068c99bbee4bf4f14916082ab754938

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%524 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.6%$318,378 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.09%453 pre-event fills

Settlement record

346-57-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−22.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 524 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.4% to -0.7%

524 closed positions · 1,147 taker fills · $318,378 deployed

Typical position $316 (median) · closing line value measured over 453 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer455 closed300–44-3.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-03	Combo: No — Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: Neither team to score first? + No — Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Neither team to score first?soccer · combo	—	lost	87¢ · -662	$2,766	−2,766
2026-09-03	CF América vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 0.5esports · totals	Over	won	91¢ · -1011	$1,006	+95
2026-09-03	CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Neither team to score first?esports · soccer first to score	No	won	94¢ · -1567	$535	—
2026-09-03	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: Neither team to score first?esports · soccer first to score	No