Public evidence record

donglai66

0x9bdb831c23e1fc7d5145d837c1462b61970ea90d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-14.3%711 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$54,661 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.55%38 pre-event fills

Settlement record

104-475Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−73.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 711 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -22.8% to -5.8%

711 closed positions · 1,487 taker fills · $54,661 deployed

Typical position $57 (median) · closing line value measured over 38 pre-event fills · 29% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball329 closed60–205-6.9%
Tennis304 closed24–234-22.0%
Esports51 closed11–26-1.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 86 sports · 14 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobasketball · moneyline	Toronto Tempo	lost	6¢ · +1687	$31	−29
2026-09-20	New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo · Spread New York Liberty (-15.5)basketball · spreads	Toronto Tempo	lost	43¢ · +134	$42	−42
2026-09-20	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	13¢ · +669	$9	—
2026-09-20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?