Public evidence record

sunxiaochuan278

0xa0e16dbb5456cdd0c17c83b622178f20d932ba6d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 24, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.5%341 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$219,113 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample22 pre-event fills

Settlement record

243-43Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−13.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 341 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.9% to -0.0%

341 closed positions · 777 taker fills · $219,113 deployed

Typical position $401 (median) · closing line value measured over 22 pre-event fills · 16% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports201 closed142–23-5.3%
Soccer97 closed71–14-3.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-24	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Besports · moneyline	Bilibili Gaming Junior	won	73¢ · -270	$2	+1
2026-09-24	LoL: Fuego vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Aesports · moneyline	EDward Gaming Youth Team	won	74¢ · -285	$1	+0
2026-09-23	LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	The Otter Side	won	81¢ · -426	$1	+0
2026-09-21	LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group Desports · moneyline