Public evidence record

0xa188…62ea

0xa188633d5a62d73bce9c3eb9ede5f13b434162ea

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.7%426 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.7%$12,439 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.14%370 pre-event fills

Settlement record

202-221Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−40.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 426 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.9% to +5.6%

426 closed positions · 446 taker fills · $12,439 deployed

Typical position $31 (median) · closing line value measured over 370 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

4 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$29

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5

Under

entry 42¢ · +138now 41¢ · +147−1.5 pts

Open

value$30

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Chicago Cubs

entry 45¢ · +122now 45¢ · +125−0.5 pts

Open

value$29

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

Over

entry 47¢ · +113now 46¢ · +120−1.5 pts

Open

value$29

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

San Diego Padres

entry 46¢ · +117now 45¢ · +125−1.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball402 closed193–206-1.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline	Los Angeles Angels	lost	48¢ · +108	$31	−31
2026-09-20	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)baseball · spreads	Cleveland Guardians	lost	50¢ · +101	$31	−31
2026-09-20	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Chicago Cubs (-1.5)baseball · spreads	Chicago Cubs	won	48¢ · +108	$31	+32
2026-09-20	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads	Philadelphia Phillies	won