Public evidence record

LightSword707

0xa23c507007a00c15263f92620bec88425a71ae92

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $20.00). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.1%1,140 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.2%$57,444 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.59%743 pre-event fills

Settlement record

619-512-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−53.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,140 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.0% to +5.2%

1,140 closed positions · 1,738 taker fills · $57,444 deployed

Typical position $20 (median) · closing line value measured over 743 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$20

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Philadelphia Phillies

entry 37¢ · +170now 37¢ · +174−0.5 pts

Open

value$20

Arizona Diamondbacks winning after 5 innings?

Yes

entry 55¢ · -123now 55¢ · -120−0.7 pts

Open

value$10

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Los Angeles Dodgers

entry 35¢ · +183now 37¢ · +174+1.2 pts

Open

value$19

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies

entry 57¢ · -133now 56¢ · -125−1.5 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis355 closed197–152–1-2.3%
Basketball296 closed166–127+3.4%
Baseball274 closed144–130-2.2%
Football76 closed37–39-7.1%
Esports55 closed34–21-2.3%
Hockey51 closed25–26-3.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Eagles vs. Titansfootball · moneyline	Eagles	won	62¢ · -162	$25	+15
2026-09-20	Packers vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline	Packers	won	52¢ · -109	$15	+14
2026-09-20	Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline	Miami Marlins	lost	43¢ · +133	$10	−10
2026-09-20	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline	Detroit Tigers	lost	48¢ · +108	$10

LightSword707

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Philadelphia Phillies

Yes

Los Angeles Dodgers

Philadelphia Phillies

By sport

Position log

Chicago Cubs

Chicago White Sox

Seattle Mariners

Texas Rangers