Public evidence record

0xa2e0…d084

0xa2e02afef57ad77e55a1d6b47222c1c26fcbd084

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.4%615 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.3%$104,945 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.87%481 pre-event fills

Settlement record

277-303Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−54.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 615 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.8% to +0.1%

615 closed positions · 872 taker fills · $104,945 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 481 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball285 closed126–144-7.1%
Baseball211 closed98–105-7.6%
Hockey50 closed23–22-0.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-23	Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Over	lost	54¢ · -117	$73	−73
2026-08-23	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi	Yes	lost	52¢ · -108	$16	−16
2026-08-23	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · nrfi	No	won	54¢ · -117	$20	+17
2026-08-23	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · nrfi	No