Public evidence record

JustMaybee

0xa3fac5b50a5fcb5d9d53ce3fc392d148d740af3a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 12, 2026

Source sync: Oct 12, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.8%393 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.1%$34,341 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.99%418 pre-event fills

Settlement record

190-160-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−29.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 393 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.8% to +1.3%

393 closed positions · 981 taker fills · $34,341 deployed

Typical position $49 (median) · closing line value measured over 418 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1042

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

No

entry 58¢ · -138now 61¢ · -153+2.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer187 closed84–68-6.6%
Basketball125 closed64–58-4.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 76 sports · 24 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-11	Combo: RC Deportivo A Coruña — Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5) + Valencia CF — Spread: Real Racing Club (-2.5) + Manchester City FC — Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)soccer · combo	—	won	69¢ · -221	$333	+143
2026-10-11	Combo: Nottingham Forest FC — Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5) + Hull City AFC — Spread: Everton FC (-2.5) + Manchester City FC — Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)soccer · combo	—	won	78¢ · -353	$730	+197
2026-10-11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?Non-sports	Yes	exited	24¢ · +317	$15	—