Public evidence record

zxcvb1

0xa4ddf437f6e80ab828ba582c1c46e0cc1eb323ff

Verified

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedAug 8, 2026

Source sync: Aug 8, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.

Sample-adjusted return

+15.4%496 settled positions

Closing line value

-1.37%280 pre-event fills

Beat the close

+29%280 pre-event fills

Settlement record

66-166Wins · losses · pushes

95% confidence interval on return: +6.1% to +24.7%

496 settled positions · 1,626 taker fills · $45,671 deployed

Closing line value measured over 280 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making

Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.

Position log

Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.

Settled	Outcome	Entry (implied)	Cost	Result
2026-08-07	exited	32% · +212	$22	−15
2026-08-07	lost	18% · +456	$63	−63
2026-08-07	exited	30% · +236	$119	+209
2026-08-07	lost	30% · +233	$30	−30
2026-08-07	won	53% · -113	$53	+47
2026-08-07	lost	4% · +2616	$15	−15
2026-08-06	won	36% · +178	$36	+51
2026-08-06	won	35% · +186	$39	+48
2026-08-06	lost	1% · +16594	$12	−12
2026-08-06	lost	26% · +292	$306	−306
2026-08-06	lost	60% · -150	$60	−60
2026-08-06	lost	10% · +900	$10	−10
2026-08-05	lost	10% · +900	$10	−10
2026-08-05	lost	19% · +426	$15	−15
2026-08-05	lost	15% · +567	$15	−15
2026-08-05	won	28% · +257	$28	+72
2026-08-05	lost	17% · +506	$66	−66
2026-08-05	lost	23% · +335	$12	−12
2026-08-05	lost	15% · +567	$11	−11
2026-08-05	lost	6% · +1567	$6	−6
2026-08-05	lost	15% · +567	$15	−15
2026-08-05	lost	12% · +733	$7	−7
2026-08-05	lost	14% · +614	$28	−28
2026-08-05	lost	11% · +782	$17	−17
2026-08-04	lost	9% · +1020	$36	−36
2026-08-04	lost	9% · +1011	$9	−9
2026-08-04	lost	6% · +1567	$18	−18
2026-08-04	lost	14% · +614	$14	−14
2026-08-04	lost	11% · +838	$16	−16
2026-08-04	lost	17% · +501	$125	+295
2026-08-04	lost	20% · +395	$20	+5
2026-08-04	lost	18% · +460	$27	−27
2026-08-04	lost	18% · +469	$61	−61
2026-08-04	lost	10% · +900	$20	−20
2026-08-04	won	12% · +733	$35	+217
2026-08-03	lost	51% · -104	$51	−51
2026-08-03	lost	15% · +551	$184	−42
2026-08-02	lost	24% · +317	$24	−24
2026-08-02	lost	14% · +614	$14	−14
2026-08-02	lost	15% · +567	$15	−15
2026-08-02	lost	34% · +195	$295	−295
2026-08-02	lost	25% · +297	$302	−302
2026-08-02	exited	15% · +567	$30	—
2026-08-02	lost	18% · +471	$35	—
2026-08-02	lost	15% · +567	$15	−15
2026-08-01	lost	6% · +1567	$6	−6
2026-08-01	lost	20% · +400	$20	−20
2026-08-01	lost	11% · +809	$2	−2
2026-08-01	lost	6% · +1567	$6	−6
2026-07-31	lost	37% · +170	$11	−11
2026-07-31	lost	24% · +317	$31	−31
2026-07-31	won	21% · +376	$17	+63
2026-07-31	lost	28% · +257	$11	−11
2026-07-31	lost	20% · +400	$10	−10
2026-07-31	exited	27% · +270	$16	+28
2026-07-31	lost	17% · +488	$16	−16
2026-07-30	lost	41% · +144	$20	−20
2026-07-30	lost	49% · +104	$29	−29
2026-07-30	lost	10% · +900	$20	−20
2026-07-30	lost	7% · +1329	$9	−9
2026-07-30	exited	41% · +144	$16	−11
2026-07-30	won	11% · +809	$10	+73
2026-07-30	lost	20% · +408	$59	−59
2026-07-30	lost	7% · +1329	$4	−4
2026-07-29	lost	13% · +669	$13	−13
2026-07-29	lost	7% · +1400	$10	−10
2026-07-29	lost	9% · +1011	$9	−9
2026-07-29	won	9% · +1024	$2	+10
2026-07-29	exited	48% · +108	$14	−0
2026-07-29	won	50% · -100	$45	+45
2026-07-29	lost	42% · +138	$21	−21
2026-07-28	lost	31% · +223	$37	−37
2026-07-28	lost	48% · +108	$24	−24
2026-07-28	lost	48% · +110	$67	−67
2026-07-27	lost	40% · +150	$24	−24
2026-07-26	exited	24% · +317	$14	−4
2026-07-26	lost	6% · +1567	$2	−2
2026-07-26	lost	31% · +228	$35	—
2026-07-26	lost	27% · +270	$14	—
2026-07-25	lost	14% · +614	$11	−11
2026-07-25	lost	28% · +257	$28	−28
2026-07-25	lost	2% · +4445	$2	−2
2026-07-25	won	28% · +257	$11	+29
2026-07-25	lost	14% · +635	$5	−5
2026-07-25	won	30% · +233	$12	+28
2026-07-25	lost	22% · +355	$13	−13
2026-07-23	lost	52% · -108	$26	−26
2026-07-23	lost	45% · +122	$32	−32
2026-07-23	lost	10% · +900	$10	−10
2026-07-22	lost	35% · +187	$35	−35
2026-07-22	lost	50% · -100	$35	−35
2026-07-22	won	26% · +285	$26	+74
2026-07-22	won	57% · -133	$28	+22
2026-07-22	exited	24% · +317	$14	−7
2026-07-21	lost	53% · -113	$48	−48
2026-07-21	exited	17% · +488	$5	−3
2026-07-21	won	25% · +300	$18	+53
2026-07-21	lost	9% · +1011	$18	−18
2026-07-21	lost	28% · +257	$28	−28
2026-07-20	won	58% · -138	$23	+17