Public evidence record

yolodovah

0xa531cb1045cbf6aa7635715eb97e9e0a05da9d20

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.9%485 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.6%$87,431 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample7 pre-event fills

Settlement record

447-32-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−2.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 485 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.8% to +0.1%

485 closed positions · 605 taker fills · $87,431 deployed

Typical position $150 (median) · closing line value measured over 7 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$778

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

No

entry 91¢ · -1010now 89¢ · -770−2.5 pts

Open

value$47

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

No

entry 68¢ · -212now 65¢ · -182−3.5 pts

Open

value$47

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

No

entry 40¢ · +149now 38¢ · +165−2.4 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis336 closed308–23-2.5%
Baseball136 closed128–8-3.0%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Non-sports	No	won	98¢ · -3927	$1,000	+25
2026-08-26	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline	San Diego Padres	won	97¢ · -3778	$350	+9
2026-08-26	Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline	San Francisco Giants	lost	98¢ · -5438	$350	−350
2026-08-26	US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov