Public evidence record
manxia
0xa62a6c400f7d13c1c0d113e1a0a9700e147df05b
Record anatomy
Know what this profile can prove.
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Aug 7, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers.
Sample-adjusted return
+4.1%73 settled positionsClosing line value
+0.53%47 pre-event fillsBeat the close
+34%47 pre-event fillsSettlement record
56-12Wins · losses · pushes95% confidence interval on return: +0.7% to +7.4%
73 settled positions · 460 taker fills · $137,510 deployed
Closing line value measured over 47 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making
Return is sample-adjusted. It is pulled toward the population average in proportion to how little data there is, so a large figure over few positions ranks below a smaller one over many. Full methodology.
Position log
Every settled position, newest first. Losses render exactly as wins do.
| Settled | Outcome | Entry (implied) | Cost | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | exited | 91% · -1011 | $800 | +78 |
| 2026-08-06 | won | 92% · -1150 | $1,000 | +87 |
| 2026-07-29 | exited | 94% · -1569 | $500 | +31 |
| 2026-07-14 | lost | 58% · -138 | $2,000 | −1,672 |
| 2026-07-12 | won | 81% · -431 | $3,709 | +861 |
| 2026-07-12 | won | 73% · -270 | $1,000 | +370 |
| 2026-07-11 | won | 77% · -332 | $2,688 | +809 |
| 2026-07-11 | won | 85% · -567 | $892 | +157 |
| 2026-07-11 | won | 91% · -981 | $1,000 | +102 |
| 2026-07-10 | won | 71% · -245 | $1,000 | +408 |
| 2026-07-10 | won | 74% · -281 | $1,000 | +356 |
| 2026-07-10 | lost | 89% · -809 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2026-07-10 | lost | 77% · -336 | $233 | −233 |
| 2026-07-08 | won | 76% · -317 | $2,299 | +726 |
| 2026-07-07 | won | 74% · -285 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | won | 70% · -230 | $1,600 | −803 |
| 2026-07-07 | won | 85% · -567 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | won | 70% · -233 | $1,000 | +429 |
| 2026-07-06 | won | 67% · -203 | $1,000 | +493 |
| 2026-07-06 | lost | 49% · +104 | $1,020 | −812 |
| 2026-07-06 | won | 86% · -614 | $5,000 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | won | 55% · -122 | $500 | +409 |
| 2026-07-05 | lost | 70% · -233 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2026-07-04 | won | 42% · +138 | $800 | +1,105 |
| 2026-07-04 | won | 83% · -488 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | won | 93% · -1329 | $1,000 | +75 |
| 2026-07-04 | won | 84% · -525 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | won | 77% · -333 | $1,000 | +300 |
| 2026-07-04 | won | 81% · -426 | $1,059 | +248 |
| 2026-07-03 | won | 60% · -150 | $1,000 | +667 |
| 2026-07-03 | won | 94% · -1567 | $2,000 | +128 |
| 2026-07-03 | lost | 87% · -669 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | won | 95% · -1883 | $1,000 | +53 |
| 2026-07-03 | won | 67% · -205 | $1,024 | +499 |
| 2026-07-02 | won | 76% · -309 | $982 | +318 |
| 2026-07-02 | won | 87% · -675 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | won | 89% · -789 | $2,000 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | won | 84% · -515 | $2,299 | +447 |
| 2026-07-01 | won | 60% · -150 | $1,000 | +667 |
| 2026-07-01 | won | 81% · -433 | $1,500 | +346 |
| 2026-07-01 | won | 90% · -940 | $3,301 | +351 |
| 2026-06-30 | won | 78% · -355 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | won | 72% · -257 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | lost | 60% · -150 | $200 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | won | 45% · +122 | $300 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | won | 72% · -257 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | won | 93% · -1329 | $1,652 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | won | 76% · -317 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | won | 94% · -1567 | $1,000 | +64 |
| 2026-06-24 | won | 67% · -203 | $823 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | won | 68% · -217 | $2,000 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | lost | 84% · -525 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | won | 95% · -1900 | $1,000 | +53 |
| 2026-06-22 | won | 69% · -223 | $1,000 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | won | 84% · -525 | $2,951 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | won | 70% · -233 | $1,700 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | won | 90% · -880 | $1,000 | +114 |
| 2026-06-20 | won | 88% · -733 | $8,000 | — |
| 2026-06-06 | lost | 70% · -232 | $14,000 | −14,000 |
| 2026-06-05 | lost | 62% · -161 | $5,734 | −5,734 |
| 2026-06-04 | exited | 36% · +178 | $1,832 | −1,773 |
| 2026-06-04 | won | 85% · -561 | $1,500 | — |
| 2026-06-04 | lost | 73% · -276 | $5,000 | −5,000 |
| 2026-06-02 | won | 73% · -271 | $1,961 | +723 |
| 2026-06-02 | won | 97% · -3099 | $500 | +16 |
| 2026-05-31 | won | 87% · -669 | $200 | +30 |
| 2026-05-31 | won | 95% · -1927 | $1,000 | +52 |
| 2026-05-29 | won | 81% · -431 | $5,000 | +1,160 |
| 2026-05-27 | won | 88% · -733 | $500 | +68 |
| 2026-05-26 | won | 92% · -1150 | $2,563 | +223 |
| 2026-05-25 | exited | 42% · +138 | $22 | +30 |
| 2026-05-24 | won | 58% · -138 | $9,367 | +6,783 |
| 2026-05-23 | won | 63% · -170 | $4,720 | +2,772 |
| 2026-05-22 | won | 80% · -400 | $1,000 | +250 |
| 2026-05-21 | won | 76% · -317 | $992 | +313 |
| 2026-05-20 | won | 51% · -103 | $1,956 | +1,895 |
| 2026-05-20 | won | 73% · -275 | $5,000 | −4,525 |
| 2026-05-20 | lost | 93% · -1329 | $5,000 | −5,000 |
| 2026-05-19 | won | 75% · -301 | $1,000 | +333 |
| 2026-05-18 | won | 83% · -498 | $4,475 | +898 |
| 2026-05-18 | exited | 80% · -400 | $1,500 | −1,278 |
| 2026-05-18 | won | 79% · -379 | $1,000 | +264 |
| 2026-05-18 | won | 90% · -949 | $1,900 | +200 |
| 2026-05-18 | won | 93% · -1329 | $900 | +68 |
| 2026-05-17 | won | 79% · -376 | $1,000 | +266 |
| 2026-05-16 | won | 89% · -809 | $1,000 | +124 |
| 2026-05-15 | won | 60% · -148 | $1,704 | +1,149 |
| 2026-05-09 | lost | 18% · +456 | $1,479 | −1,479 |
| 2026-05-08 | lost | 64% · -181 | $2,500 | −2,500 |
| 2026-05-07 | won | 74% · -285 | $1,000 | +351 |
| 2026-05-07 | lost | 49% · +104 | $400 | −400 |
| 2026-05-07 | won | 78% · -355 | $500 | +137 |
| 2026-05-07 | won | 81% · -425 | $500 | +118 |
| 2026-05-06 | won | 80% · -400 | $500 | +125 |
| 2026-05-06 | won | 92% · -1156 | $600 | +52 |
| 2026-05-06 | won | 70% · -230 | $3,000 | +1,303 |